Monte Carlo vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 8
MCA
37%
21%
43%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MCA
5 - 1
TCK
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CPK
3 - 2
MCA
67%
16%
17%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MCA
7 - 0
SMA
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CHF
0 - 4
MCA
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 0
SMA
79%
12%
9%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 1
BEN
25%
18%
57%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
CHF
68%
16%
16%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
4 - 0
LUL
79%
12%
10%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
TCK
0 - 4
BEN
28%
19%
53%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |