Monte Carlo vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
46.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 1
CPO
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 5
CPK
40%
21%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PSP
1 - 1
MCA
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
62%
19%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
LUL
4 - 1
MCA
23%
19%
58%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
TCK
1 - 3
BEN
39%
20%
41%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BEN
6 - 2
CPO
66%
16%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CPK
2 - 0
BEN
52%
19%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
6 - 0
PSP
83%
11%
7%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 4
BEN
28%
20%
52%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |