Monte Carlo vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
24.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
CPK
0 - 5
MCA
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
2 - 1
MCA
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CPO
0 - 16
MCA
12%
15%
74%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -14 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAI
0 - 5
MCA
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +14 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MCA
4 - 0
CLU
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
SMA
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -24 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CPK
0 - 2
BEN
15%
18%
68%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
0 - 3
BEN
54%
19%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +23 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
14 - 0
CPO
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |