Monte Carlo vs Chao Pak Kei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
36.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
5%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MCA
5 - 0
SMA
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHF
0 - 1
MCA
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
MCA
11 - 0
HSA
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 7
MCA
14%
15%
72%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 2
MCA
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chao Pak Kei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 7
CPK
6%
10%
83%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CPK
4 - 0
CHF
64%
17%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HSA
0 - 6
CPK
9%
12%
79%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CPK
4 - 0
LUL
89%
7%
4%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TCK
0 - 3
CPK
14%
14%
72%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |