Monte Carlo vs Tim Iec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 0
MCA
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CHF
0 - 3
MCA
31%
20%
50%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
PSP
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 4
MCA
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +10 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 1
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tim Iec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
CDT
2 - 2
WAK
29%
19%
52%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 2
SMA
45%
21%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 2
CDT
48%
22%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CLU
0 - 5
CDT
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
HLM
0 - 3
CDT
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |