Miraflores City vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
82.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
+413%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miraflores City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ALH
3 - 0
MRF
64%
19%
17%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MRF
0 - 5
BNM
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
MRF
0 - 3
UDE
47%
20%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAN
10 - 0
MRF
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MRF
1 - 3
BAN
18%
18%
65%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
3 - 3
BAN
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MRB
1 - 0
PEN
39%
21%
41%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UDL
1 - 1
PEN
10%
14%
77%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
5 - 1
GUA
77%
13%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
COS
0 - 5
PEN
7%
11%
83%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |