CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HUA
3 - 1
CDM
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 0
EVE
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
CDM
62%
24%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 1
CSL
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ULC
2 - 3
CDM
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DCO
2 - 0
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
FVC
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |