CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
COQ
2 - 1
CDM
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
USF
2 - 0
CDM
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
CDM
4 - 1
CSD
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CDM
0 - 1
UCO
20%
27%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 0
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
UCO
4 - 1
CSL
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 3
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 1
COQ
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |