CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
CDP
1 - 0
CDM
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 0
NTA
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
OHI
1 - 2
CDM
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 1
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ULC
2 - 2
CDM
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
LOT
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
6 - 2
CDP
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 3
OVA
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |