CD Melipilla vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
52.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 0
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 1
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CDM
1 - 0
CON
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
CSL
2 - 0
CDM
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CDM
1 - 0
ACS
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 1
UCO
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 0
CSD
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 0
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |