CD Melipilla vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CHG
0 - 1
CDM
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 0
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CDM
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CDM
4 - 3
TRA
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 1
SAU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NTA
5 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAU
2 - 1
NTA
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NTA
1 - 0
DSC
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 2
NTA
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
NTA
1 - 0
CHG
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |