CD Melipilla vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDM
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
SWA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 0
CDM
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
ACS
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 1
CDM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DLS
2 - 1
CSL
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NUB
0 - 1
DLS
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
DLS
0 - 2
EVE
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
DLS
2 - 0
OHI
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |