Apertura Honduras Round 5

CD Marathón vs Real España analysis

CD Marathón Real España
62 ELO 70
0.6% Tilt 5.6%
1226º General ELO ranking 1298º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.5%
CD Marathón
26.1%
Draw
42.5%
Real España

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
CD Marathón
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.5%
Win probability
Real España
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Marathón
+4%
-7%
Real España

ELO progression

CD Marathón
Real España
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Marathón
CD Marathón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2014
VID
CDyS Vida
3 - 1
CD Marathón
MAR
38%
26%
36%
64 59 5 0
25 Aug. 2014
OLI
CD Olimpia
4 - 0
CD Marathón
MAR
54%
25%
21%
65 71 6 -1
17 Aug. 2014
MAR
CD Marathón
0 - 1
CD Victoria
VIC
56%
24%
21%
65 61 4 0
10 Aug. 2014
MAR
CD Marathón
1 - 1
CD Real Sociedad
RSO
43%
27%
30%
65 68 3 0
05 May. 2014
OLI
CD Olimpia
0 - 0
CD Marathón
MAR
56%
24%
20%
66 74 8 -1

Matches

Real España
Real España
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2014
RES
Real España
5 - 0
FC Motagua
MOT
53%
24%
22%
68 68 0 0
22 Aug. 2014
RES
Real España
1 - 1
Municipal
MUN
63%
21%
15%
68 64 4 0
17 Aug. 2014
VID
CDyS Vida
0 - 0
Real España
RES
29%
25%
46%
69 60 9 -1
11 Aug. 2014
PLA
Platense FC
3 - 3
Real España
RES
30%
26%
44%
69 62 7 0
07 Aug. 2014
PAC
Pachuca
4 - 1
Real España
RES
61%
22%
17%
70 79 9 -1