CD Málaga vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
65.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
MAL
1 - 0
CAD
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
VCF
3 - 0
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
MAL
1 - 0
SPO
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
ATM
2 - 0
MAL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
CEL
1 - 1
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1990 |
RMA
3 - 2
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
CAD
0 - 3
RMA
12%
23%
65%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1990 |
CAD
0 - 1
RMA
16%
25%
59%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
RMA
1 - 1
MLL
93%
6%
2%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |