Lun Lok vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-108%
-113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
LUL
0 - 4
TCK
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LUL
1 - 0
HSA
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CHF
3 - 4
LUL
57%
19%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
LUL
4 - 1
MCA
23%
19%
58%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
7 - 0
LUL
77%
12%
11%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
HSA
1 - 5
SMA
35%
22%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 4
CHF
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
62%
19%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 4
BEN
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CPO
2 - 1
SMA
63%
17%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |