Lun Lok vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-111%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 10
CPK
13%
15%
72%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HSA
2 - 1
LUL
27%
21%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LUL
5 - 0
HSA
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
TCK
0 - 6
LUL
58%
19%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 4
BEN
12%
15%
73%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
85%
10%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
MCA
25%
19%
56%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TOI
1 - 6
MCA
18%
17%
66%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CPK
4 - 0
MCA
58%
18%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 2
MCA
12%
15%
73%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |