1ª Regional Murcia Round 15

CD Lumbreras vs Lorca Deportiva B analysis

CD Lumbreras Lorca Deportiva B
17 ELO 20
-6.5% Tilt -8.5%
13541º General ELO ranking 12152º
2300º Country ELO ranking 1401º
ELO win probability
36%
CD Lumbreras
22.9%
Draw
41.1%
Lorca Deportiva B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
CD Lumbreras
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.1%
Win probability
Lorca Deportiva B
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Lumbreras
-63%
-53%
Lorca Deportiva B

ELO progression

CD Lumbreras
Lorca Deportiva B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Lumbreras
CD Lumbreras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
DEM
Deportivo Murcia
1 - 1
CD Lumbreras
CDL
76%
14%
10%
17 23 6 0
07 Jan. 2024
CDL
CD Lumbreras
5 - 2
Roldan AD
ROL
78%
14%
9%
16 7 9 +1
16 Dec. 2023
PAL
AD Palmeral
1 - 0
CD Lumbreras
CDL
35%
22%
43%
17 14 3 -1
02 Dec. 2023
CDL
CD Lumbreras
2 - 0
San Gines de La Jara
GIN
65%
18%
17%
16 12 4 +1
26 Nov. 2023
CEF
CFB Totana
1 - 4
CD Lumbreras
CDL
22%
22%
56%
16 11 5 0

Matches

Lorca Deportiva B
Lorca Deportiva B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
LOR
Lorca Deportiva B
5 - 0
UD Alberca
ALB
65%
18%
17%
19 15 4 0
07 Jan. 2024
DOL
EF Dolores de Pacheco
1 - 4
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
20%
21%
59%
18 11 7 +1
16 Dec. 2023
DEM
Deportivo Murcia
1 - 1
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
71%
16%
13%
18 22 4 0
02 Dec. 2023
LOR
Lorca Deportiva B
3 - 0
Roldan AD
ROL
84%
11%
6%
18 7 11 0
25 Nov. 2023
PAL
AD Palmeral
1 - 1
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
29%
22%
49%
18 13 5 0