CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
COL
0 - 4
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALA
49%
25%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CMP
0 - 0
LUG
39%
27%
34%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CLA
3 - 1
LUG
38%
27%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 2
ACS
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 2
ARA
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 1
MOS
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
YEB
2 - 2
ARA
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
TVA
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |