CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
LUG
31%
27%
43%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
CLA
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CIE
0 - 0
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 0
ATP
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
CIS
5 - 2
MEX
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 0
CIS
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 1
CDM
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
MEX
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 1
ADA
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |