Leones vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
33%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
INJ
23%
30%
47%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
22%
29%
49%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
LFC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
GUA
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSV
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
27%
31%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CSV
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
INJ
24%
31%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
CSV
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |