Leones vs Vinotinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+187%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
2º
13
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 37 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
|
1º
|
22 | 37 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 32 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 31 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 28 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 26 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 25 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 24 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 22 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
94.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 1
LFC
40%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
LFC
1 - 1
CFC
30%
28%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
LFC
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
LFC
1 - 1
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
IMB
0 - 2
LFC
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Vinotinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
3 - 2
CAV
71%
20%
10%
|
19 | 81 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
CAV
3 - 2
INJ
22%
27%
51%
|
18 | 79 | 61 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ESA
1 - 0
CAV
65%
22%
14%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
CAV
2 - 1
CSV
22%
26%
52%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
CAV
67%
22%
12%
|
16 | 72 | 56 | 0 |