CD Ursaria vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 0
URS
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
URS
0 - 1
ALA
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
URS
4 - 1
CMP
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CDV
1 - 4
URS
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
URS
0 - 1
CDM
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
CMP
62%
19%
18%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
COL
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 2
ARA
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
VIL
32%
25%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |