CD Ursaria vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 2
URS
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PBO
0 - 3
URS
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
URS
4 - 2
ARG
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BET
1 - 0
URS
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
URS
2 - 3
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 1
CMP
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 3
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
YEB
1 - 1
CDF
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CDF
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 0
CDV
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |