Julian Marias vs Fuencarral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
72.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAO
4 - 1
CDJ
80%
12%
7%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDJ
1 - 2
RSB
20%
18%
62%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 0
CDJ
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fuencarral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FUE
2 - 1
CDC
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 3
FUE
42%
21%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FUE
3 - 1
LSA
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 1
FUE
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FUE
3 - 0
ESC
42%
22%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |