Julian Marias vs Fomento Alumni B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 3
CDJ
48%
19%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CDJ
0 - 4
CAN
35%
20%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LSA
3 - 2
CDJ
48%
21%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CDJ
1 - 11
CDO
13%
15%
73%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CDJ
0 - 7
RSB
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOM
2 - 1
ADS
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LIC
2 - 7
FOM
14%
17%
70%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOM
5 - 0
CDR
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 1
FOM
20%
18%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FOM
4 - 3
LPV
59%
18%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |