ART Jalapa vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
8º
8º
46
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DEP
2 - 0
JAP
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
JAP
2 - 0
RSA
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
UNA
2 - 0
JAP
46%
22%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
UNA
1 - 0
JAP
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MFC
3 - 3
JAP
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 4
EST
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
WAL
0 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
EST
0 - 4
EST
5%
10%
85%
|
69 | 16 | 53 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
EST
3 - 0
RSA
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
EST
5 - 0
UNA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |