CD Hércules vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
76.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
12º
10º
6
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 44 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 41 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 36 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 34 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 33 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 18 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 16 |
12º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
18.5% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 33.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 1
HER
43%
22%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
MUN
5 - 2
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
AGU
2 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
FAS
24%
26%
49%
|
10 | 66 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 3
FIR
22%
24%
55%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
FUE
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
INT
1 - 2
CDC
8%
14%
77%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CDC
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |