Hércules Gaditano F.C. vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules Gaditano F.C.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ALG
4 - 0
GAD
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
GAD
2 - 2
BAL
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
COR
1 - 0
GAD
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
RCD
5 - 0
GAD
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
GAD
2 - 1
MAL
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
RJA
3 - 1
BAL
74%
15%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
RCD
1 - 1
RJA
53%
21%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
59%
19%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
RJA
4 - 0
LIN
75%
14%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
ALG
2 - 0
RJA
41%
22%
37%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |