CD Guardo vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
PON
1 - 1
CDG
89%
9%
3%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
LER
2 - 1
CDG
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
CDG
1 - 3
LEO
28%
27%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
CDG
1 - 0
ACF
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
CFB
3 - 0
CDG
43%
25%
31%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
AST
1 - 1
LEO
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ACF
3 - 0
AST
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
AST
3 - 0
CFB
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
AST
3 - 1
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
VAL
2 - 1
AST
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |