Guardense vs Carrion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-126%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AST
4 - 1
GUA
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 4
ATA
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CER
3 - 0
GUA
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDB
0 - 0
GUA
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
CDV
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CDV
0 - 2
CAR
38%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
AST
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
81%
11%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
ATA
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDA
0 - 0
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |