Honduras Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
CD Génesis vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JUT
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDG
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
CDG
67%
20%
12%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
ALI
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 4
CDG
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RES
0 - 0
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 0
RES
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RES
0 - 1
JUT
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
RES
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RES
0 - 3
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |