FB Mellaria vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+982%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FB Mellaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
9 - 0
FBM
87%
9%
5%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FBM
3 - 2
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
REC
3 - 1
FBM
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FBM
0 - 6
CCS
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 1
FBM
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ATC
4 - 1
CIU
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAQ
4 - 1
ATC
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATC
1 - 2
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ATC
1 - 0
CDA
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
ATC
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |