CD Fortuna vs Santa Eugenia 1976 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARY
0 - 2
CDF
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CDF
0 - 3
NVL
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CDO
0 - 2
CDF
35%
25%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDF
4 - 1
VLO
37%
27%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALH
1 - 2
CDF
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Eugenia 1976
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SEU
1 - 4
NAV
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SEU
2 - 3
ARY
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NVL
2 - 4
SEU
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SEU
1 - 3
CDO
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VLO
3 - 0
SEU
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |