CD Fortuna vs CD Villaconejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CDF
1 - 1
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GRI
1 - 3
CDF
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 4
CDF
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CDF
1 - 2
LOE
58%
23%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
LAA
1 - 2
CDF
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villaconejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VCJ
0 - 3
COL
20%
23%
58%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
COL
4 - 0
VCJ
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LEG
6 - 1
VCJ
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VCJ
1 - 2
GRI
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VCJ
0 - 0
ARG
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |