Femsa vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SBA
1 - 1
FEM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
FEM
1 - 1
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
PUL
2 - 1
FEM
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FEM
3 - 2
ARA
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
TAL
4 - 0
FEM
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
AVI
1 - 2
GDE
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
UBC
2 - 2
AVI
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
AVI
2 - 1
TOR
64%
19%
16%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VIL
3 - 2
AVI
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
AVI
1 - 1
SBA
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |