CD El Nacional vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 1
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
VEL
3 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
4 - 0
VAS
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
33%
27%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
PAL
4 - 0
STR
91%
6%
2%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
FLU
0 - 2
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |