CD El Esparragal vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Esparragal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
EEP
40%
25%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
EEP
0 - 4
ALG
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
EEP
20%
23%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 0
EEP
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
EEP
1 - 0
CDA
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
YEC
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 0
VIL
23%
22%
56%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 1
AFC
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALG
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |