CD Don Álvaro vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+398%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDB
3 - 3
CDD
57%
19%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CDD
0 - 0
USA
60%
20%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDD
4 - 3
CAM
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SPR
3 - 2
CDD
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDD
0 - 2
ALM
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UDF
5 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ADL
5 - 2
UDF
58%
22%
20%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ZAL
1 - 0
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 1
CDS
20%
24%
57%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
UDF
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |