CD Don Álvaro vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
16º
14º
39
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
JER
3 - 0
CDD
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
UDF
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 1
CDD
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 2
MOR
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
3 - 2
CDD
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
AZU
37%
26%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ADL
3 - 0
CAL
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
UCL
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAL
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
PUE
50%
25%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |