Don Álvaro B vs Alcuescar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Álvaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
ALV
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
4 - 1
VAL
63%
18%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ASQ
2 - 2
ALV
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 1
LHA
58%
19%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PUL
0 - 4
ALV
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcuescar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
TRU
12%
16%
72%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALC
47%
21%
32%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 5
MET
17%
19%
64%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDZ
6 - 1
ALC
91%
7%
3%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAD
42%
21%
37%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |