CD Derio vs SD Basurto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CDD
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 1
AKE
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDO
2 - 2
CDD
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
DSJ
2 - 1
CDD
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 0
UCD
25%
24%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Basurto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
SDB
1 - 0
DSJ
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
UCD
5 - 1
SDB
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SDB
2 - 1
CDG
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDP
1 - 0
SDB
63%
21%
16%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SDB
1 - 3
CDS
42%
23%
34%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |