Derecho UVA vs Gimnástica Medinense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derecho UVA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
POZ
2 - 2
DER
40%
20%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DER
3 - 2
ATL
20%
18%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDB
5 - 1
DER
51%
20%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
DER
5 - 3
CDZ
44%
21%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PIN
3 - 2
DER
40%
21%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástica Medinense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 2
CAB
22%
18%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDU
5 - 1
GIM
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 4
CIS
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
POZ
4 - 0
GIM
51%
20%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GIM
3 - 2
ATL
22%
19%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |