Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Last 16
Global 1-4
D´Leon vs Mineros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
D´Leon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FIL
2 - 4
DLE
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DLE
0 - 1
FIL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DLE
4 - 0
CSC
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 3
DLE
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mineros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
5 - 2
ECS
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 1
MIN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
5 - 0
SDP
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SDP
0 - 3
MIN
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 3
INS
23%
24%
54%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |