Cox vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ELD
3 - 1
CDC
42%
22%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 0
UEC
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 1
CDC
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALG
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 2
CDC
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 4
SPO
37%
23%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
RAF
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 0
MON
28%
22%
51%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GUS
5 - 0
RAF
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
RAF
5 - 1
UNI
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |