Cox vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 3
CDC
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 4
ALM
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PET
2 - 2
CDC
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CDC
0 - 1
RAF
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
CDC
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
THD
3 - 4
SFF
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
THD
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
THD
1 - 2
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ELD
3 - 0
THD
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |