Cox vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
HOR
0 - 0
CDC
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 2
THD
57%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 3
CDC
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 4
ALM
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PET
2 - 2
CDC
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
SFF
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
HER
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ELD
0 - 0
CAL
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HON
1 - 2
CAL
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |