Covaleda vs Sampedrana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 4
COV
58%
21%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COV
2 - 1
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
COV
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
COV
2 - 2
QUI
34%
23%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
COV
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sampedrana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 3
NOR
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAM
22%
22%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
TAR
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 2
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 0
LAN
35%
23%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |