Covaleda vs Abejar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+183%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
QUI
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 2
COV
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COV
0 - 3
EST
7%
13%
81%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
COV
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
COV
2 - 4
LAN
5%
13%
83%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAS
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GOL
4 - 0
ABE
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 3
VIS
16%
19%
64%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
ABE
55%
21%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
PIQ
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |