Corellano vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ALU
2 - 1
CDC
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 1
FAL
79%
12%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 7
CDC
6%
14%
81%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 2
AZK
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 4
CDC
15%
19%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
CAV
6%
13%
80%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
ALU
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
FAL
3 - 0
MUR
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
MUS
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AZK
5 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |