Corellano vs Txantrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDC
50%
27%
23%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CDC
4 - 2
TAR
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDC
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CDC
4 - 1
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ALF
2 - 0
CDC
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Txantrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CHA
4 - 2
SAB
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CHA
1 - 0
TAR
49%
26%
26%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
NUM
7 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |